Where will we be 100 years from now?, page 1
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reply posted on 11-12-2004 @ 11:44 AM by Otts
If you're talking strictly about the U.S. - and even if you were talking, in a larger sense, about the world - anything is possible. One hundred years is a long time, and no one could have predicted in 1901 that the Austro-Hungarian and German empires would fall, or that it would be the bloodiest century mankind has ever known, or even that advances would be made at a rhythm never seen before in transportation and communications.

I believe that whatever happens politically or economically in this century, will happen very fast. Communications are unceasingly getting better, people in different countries are interconnecting, and global awareness is rising.

In my view, the following things MAY happen:

A) THE WORLD

- The resurgence of nationalism in Eastern Europe will be a temporary phenomenon, stimulated by the breakup of the Soviet Union. Eventually, those countries - especially the smaller ones, like the Baltic ones - will show interest in federating again, albeit loosely. One, because the economic and environmental mess wrought by the last 30 years of the Soviet Union will prove too much to handle at a national level, and two, because it will become clear that in a world with only one superpower, political clout will depend not only on power of persuasion, but sheer size. Hence either the European Union will extend far to the East, or - a more plausible scenario - Boris Yeltsin's old CIE (Community of Independant States) will be renovated and center around Ukraine, Belarus, Georgia, etc.

- The United States may be tempted to grow increasingly independent of international forums - it's already happening with the UN and the International Criminal Court. Eventually, other countries will see the U.S. accumulating more and more power as a threat to their sovereignty and relevancy, and will organize into closer-knit blocks to be able to deal on more equal terms with America: the European Union, obviously; China; India, the aforementioned Eastern European/Centre Asian countries.

- The war in Iraq will spark more and more anger in the Muslim world, and as more Muslims are killed, more of their relatives will become terrorists. The United States will be fighting the war on terror for many, many years, and the result may be that a number of Middle Eastern countries will be in shambles, while the U.S. will be struggling economically under a staggering national debt - because of the money involved to keep the military effort going and to secure the borders.

- Africa and South America will continue to develop in an unequal way. The depletion of the Amazon will leave millions of people with unfarmable land (the Amazon's topsoil is fragile and provides farmable land for only a few years) and there may be massive starvation issues. Overpopulation and pollution will become a heavy problem in cities like Sao Paulo, Mexico City, Lagos (Nigeria), Cairo, Rio de Janeiro, etc. In Africa, some coutries will slowly get better because of local development initiatives (Senegal, Benin, Niger, Burkina Faso, to name a few) while others (Rwanda, Ethiopia, Sudan, Congo-DRC, Uganda) will be unable to go forward economically because of the onslaught of AIDS, famine, or the aftermath of civil war.

But all this, of course, would happen in the next 30 years... there's no much to say about what happens after - it can really go in a lot of directions.



reply posted on 27-2-2005 @ 03:56 AM by blackSt33L
This is what i always thought of as a possibility:

1:European Union would of formed succesfully dispite its complications over the years.But this time the capitol will be moved to either Geneva(Switzeland)or Bracelona(Spain)excuse my spelling.Later they will form a military which will be nearly,but not quite,to the size and power of the US.
The US will see this as a "threat"and further advance its military more to stay the "soul power".

China will finally become a superpower,it will have the power equivalent to that of US and the EU.

Australia and New Zealand will become one,although it will still be Australia.

Due to South Africa`s large amounts of resources(still more as counted today)in gold,platinum,Diamonds and various other elements,it will advance into a well develop nation.It will later become very power,not quite as the ``big three``(US,EU and China)but powerful.Later form a Union with the rest of the southern african nations.AIDS and crime will be lowered.

Brazil will become a world power.Its will also be an important world reigon due to its land importance to Earth.Large amounts of reserves will be made to save the rainforest and more will be regrown to strengthen the forest and restore it to its former self as once before(technology will help this).

Global warming will continue but will end to the near end of the century.Due to the ever ending advancement in technology,this problem will be sorted.

The UN will survive and will be taken more serously through the 100years. Although the US will distance itself but will rejoin due to the fact of possible hualts to exports and trades and alliences.Note that many nations will not rely on the US or the EU anymore due to``yet again``advancements.

The major wars of the century will occur in

-Kazakistan and other former central russians states(this will be due to newfound resources in the desert)

-Indonesia/Australia over ``islands``

Argentina and Chile/the EU will fight over the Falken Islands.Heavy casualties will be lost.Nations located on the southern Atlantic ocean will be kept on alert due to this war.

India will advance into a well developed nation.Like Brazil and South Africa.
Population will be under control by strict laws.Many "man made" islands will be made off the coast by india developers.This will be proven a great success and already overcrowded nations like the US,China,Brazil,and EU will adopt this idea.

Canada will population triple its size.

Quebec will not gain independence dispite a 3day war with the Canadian Amry(which will be backed by US).

And Mexico would of paid all its dept 50years from now,it will now advance into a wealthy and powerful nation.It will have great control in central america and the Carribbian.


reply posted on 27-2-2005 @ 05:30 PM by cyberdude78
Sounds a bit optimistic to me.

My theory is that the US will continue to be one of the lead forces in the world. Whether or not we take over Canada may or may not happen. That part totally depends on how our state of relations go. Personally this whole debate over the missile defense system being in Canada will only be the start of what will happen in the end. Either way, the US will probably be a world power if not a superpower for years to come. That is unless of course we piss off the world enough to get invaded. Even if an invasion fails, we'll probably suffer for it economically.

The European Union will be a power to be reckoned with, however the UK will stay somewhat isolated, retaining control of it's military. Unless of course Tony Blair's successors sell's out the once proud nation.

At some point Argentina and Brazil will go to war. Argentina will be taken over by a Facist goverment decended from former Nazi's. In an attempt to gain power they will probably assualt Paraguy and Brazil, they'll probaby take another stab at the Falkland Islands at some point. Most likely the Brit's will kick their rears again. Brazil will probably screw it's enviroment but become significantly wealthier in the process. That is until global warming screws us all.

Mexico is going to stay poor due to massive debts. It's possible that the EU may try to collect debts by invasion. However the US will probably either step in and prevent war, or join the invasion in an attempt to get rich.

China will of course be a major power. However within my lifetime they'll switch to capatalism now that they've discovered the fun of American money. China may or may not attempt to expand into Siberia. If they do, they won't succeed. China will invade Taiwan successfully, unless the US steps in, in that case China will probably figure Taiwan isn't worth the fighting the US. Tibet will probably have a revolution, however unless Tibet get's outside help, the PLA will probably crush the revolt.

North Korea's regime will probably collapse. And unless it gets help from China (unlikely if the regime falls after China goes capatalist) or Russia (pretty unlikely unless the Soviet Union comes back) they will probably end up reuniting with South Korea. Naturally there will be a war between them and probably some civil wars after the reunion, but it will probably last for quite a while.

Australia will probably be everybodies friend and probably won't become much of a military or political player in the world. They will however be domestically secure and will probably resist any possible military invasions that will happen in the next fifty years (unless they piss off a major power).

India will also become a major power. They'll probably have some rivalry with China. Plus they'll probably take the disputed lands between them and Pakistan. India will at some point over take China in terms of population simply because China has a lot more birth control measures, and India has a lot more females. This overpopulation will of course lead to some pretty major problems.

Africa is going to keep having problems. South Africa might improve but it will only be a major power in the jewels market and the southern part of Africa. Unless the EU or someone invades Africa is going to have all sorts of problems for years to come. AID's will continue to cause problems and high rape rates will cause population problems.

The middle east will probably form some sort of union. It will probably be the result of some great religous event which will bring the middle east under the control of one Muslim faction. From there the middle east will be united by one religion. It is unlikely that this will be an extremist form of Islam, therefore the ME will be a much nicer place to visit. However they'll probably get into a war with Isreal at some point.

Iran and Isreal will of course go to war or something. Iran will get it's nukes, unless the US invades. In that case Isreal will just have to watch out for the rest of the Middle East. Most likely Iran will join the middle eastern union mentioned above.

The Russians are going to get pretty angry about how capatalism is going, plus Bush's relations with Russia don't fill me with confidence. Anyhow Russia will probably go Communist. After that it will only be a matter of time before the return of the mighty Soviet Union. Anyhow they'll be stronger ecomically than the first USSR and they'll be a superpower once more. Chances are they'll go neck to neck with US avation progress. Plasma stealth may also become a reality. This second USSR or second Soviet Empire will probably do what it did in the Cold War. Spread communism and piss off the west.

In a global perspective, it doesn't look to bright. Huge nuclear arsenals will be built militaries will become the number one priority of many nations once again. The global economies will probably continue to integrate so when one major power has a depression, most of the world will have a depretion. Anyhow by the turn of the next century, I think we'll be looking at heavily integrated economies and the return of massive wars. Who knows, we may even see WWIII within the next hundred years if were not careful.

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