Here we go again...
Up to the 1940 a person could get just about any job with an 8th grade education, but today you need a BA or Masters for entry level.
Because the government & big business figured out a long time ago that populations would certainly increase over time, but due to technology
advancements, the availability of jobs would not expand to meet that population growth. There is a reason they don’t want people dropping out of
high school and then at the same time, encourage those high school graduates to attend junior college, then a 4 year university and finally a Masters
degree or PhD. They do so because it DECREASES the amount of people looking for full-time employment at the SAME TIME, chasing after jobs in a market
that CANNOT provide employment for everyone looking for, able, qualified for and willing to work.
Look at it this way, when people could get a job with an 8th grade education, they went out and did it as soon as possible (opportunity cost). Then
jobs got scarcer and the minimum requirement became a high school diploma, adding 4 more years of people NOT Looking for jobs within their cohort.
Then jobs got even scarcer and the minimum became a 2 or 4 year college degree, adding an additional 2-4 years of people NOT looking for jobs within
their cohort. Now jobs are really scarce and may require a Masters or PHD, adding an additional 2-7 years of people NOT looking for jobs within their
Basically the way the economy has been structured TODAY, we are looking at young people within their cohort whom are NOT looking for full-time, career
type, employment for 6-15 YEARS, beyond K-12, all while they finish more school!!!
This has been done ON PURPOSE, to keep the number people seeking employment lower. In 1920 after 8th grade everyone who was able, went out to look for
work and typically found it, that’s simply NOT possible today under any circumstances. Easily accessed welfare will soon add another 1-3 years of
people within a cohort, to those “not seeking employment”. Not to the specific detriment of society, but to continue to mask the illusion that
jobs and upward mobility are still available. So, if someone gets a graduate degree and collects 1-3 years of welfare on top of than, that’s ONE
less person competing for scarce jobs. The extra years of welfare are then acting in the same way to the larger economy as the increased minimum
education levels for employment. Essentially with the real goal of decreasing the number of able-bodied applicants out on the job market at the same
time. This cohort of people "not pursuing full-time employment" also includes those in Prison, Government pensioners/SSI and the disabled on
government assistance. If everyone needed to go out and “get a job” or “start their own business” TODAY, as many “capitalists” and
"entrepreneurs" suggest these days, we would all be making 0.25 cents a day.
Keeping up with the basics in terms of education and on-the-job work skills won’t be enough for jobs requiring future tech, labor market, skill-sets
(i.e. robot repair). The poor and even the middle class (not the upper middle class) will simply NOT be able to keep up with the skill demands for
future employment, REQUIRED CERTIFICATIONS, STATE LICENSING, etc, while earning wages AND keeping a roof over their heads. In the future these very
high costs skills needed to stay “relevant” in ALL labor markets, will only be affordable to the rich, or at the very least, to VERY far forward
thinking middle class families, willing to sacrifice everything financially to keep their offspring competitive in the larger job market.
With big business being hell bent on replacing living workers with machines, such comments as those in this post, miss a subtle point that ONLY the
children of the wealthy will have the opportunity to become TRUE experts in such fields. Let me clarify, through the prior 20th century, a poor kid
who studied hard could become a lawyer, engineer, accountant, even a doctor sometimes with the right combination of hard work, savings, scholarships,
family support, etc, OR they simply went into the trades and learned on the job WITH pay. HOWEVER, in engineering and technician curriculum’s today,
times are changing, which now favors kids whom have access to expensive software and hardware to “experiment” with and “practice” on before
entering college or a particular training program. So when they finally get to college or to their first apprenticeship, those whom have had lots of
free time to “play” with robotics and programming, outside of the classroom, WILL CERTAINLY outpace their less privileged peer, who flips burgers
part-time, to pay rent and school expenses.
Before 1990, 40% of teenagers had part-time jobs while in school. This is a relevant statistic because today only 20% of teenagers in school have
part-time jobs. Teens at one time made up a sizable portion of the workforce and such has changed dramatically in current employment practices.
Although not my primary point, I do think there is plenty of evidence that teens today do not have the opportunity to get part-time jobs, BUT at the
same time, the wealthy ones are beginning to develop advanced skill-sets that COULD be MORE helpful in their future adult careers, than say,
“working at a taco stand after school”. Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg are very good examples of people who made use of their free time and access
to money, without having to EVER labor for pay and ultimately developed specialized skills that could not be learned at a MINDLESS part-time job or
even in formal schooling. In the end, they leveraged that free time learning, into long term careers.
Those whom are going to be rendered jobless by automation/robotics/tech are going to be the least likely to be able to pick up these pieces in the
coming era of traditional jobs destruction. Its going to IMPOSSIBLE for the poor to go back to school, get a masters degree in robotics, in
full-time-only engineering programs, that strongly discourage their admitted students from taking part-time jobs, while favoring students who have
both the money and free time and don’t EVER work at an unrelated job to their majors, who then buy expensive robotics hardware/software to
experiment with outside of class.
I believe “rich kid job mobility" is going to be a bigger problem for regular folks, beyond even what the previous "rich kid" pedigree typically
brought in the 20th century. This unfettered access to endless money and time to “explore” academics and hands-on work, with NO consequences, is
going to END job mobility of any kind for the lower and middle classes, even those whom have met the typical required higher education and work
experience standards. Its going to be a superstar only job market, with no room for middle of road folks.
edit on 7-10-2014 by boohoo because:
(no reason given)