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Link to Interactive Graphs from Health Intelligence
This interactive data visualization shows the actual trends of total cumulative number of cases and its prediction for the next six weeks in the current Ebola virus disease outbreak, specifically considering Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, countries with widespread and intense transmission. The predictive models in this visualization has been improved and they fit much better than other models published in the previous post. Data set was updated as of Septemeber 21st, 2014 based on WHO Disease outbreak news on Ebola virus disease and Situation report: Ebola response roadmap.
I hope this tool allows all public health professionals, decision makers and policy makers involved in the current Ebola virus disease outbreak in West Africa to plan and made informed decisions on the resources needed to control this epidemic.
In a further iteration of this tool, the prediction of deaths will be included.
As always, your commets, critics, suggestions and recommendations are welcome.
This interactive data visualization shows the actual trends of total cumulative number of cases…
originally posted by: AnteBellum
a reply to: weirdguy
The part I could never understand about a contagious epidemic like this is, Africa is basically a large island. At some point(tipping point) the world needs to declare everything going in or out of Africa must pass the appropriate screening. That way it won't be able to spread elsewhere.
All the talk of how the world will be sent to ruins just never seemed a valid excuse. For example if England were to be effected, how hard would it be to just seal it off from everyone else, until it's resolved. Same for Australia, SA, NA, etc.
johnb, posted on Sep, 23 2014 @ 01:48 PM
….presumably rats and possibly wild dogs and any and all other carrion eaters, birds and insects will be feasting on some of these dead bodies if they are lying in the streets and villages and especially out in the bush.
If pigs, bats (and monkeys?) can catch/carry Ebola then presumably the chances of other animals and insects catching/carrying is massively increasing too - i wonder if anybody is keeping an eye out on the local wildlife and its effects on them….
Identifying the regions where wild animal populations could transmit the Ebola virus should help with efforts to prepare at-risk areas for future outbreaks.
The new map reveals that large swathes of Central and West Africa appear to have the right environmental conditions for Ebola infection to occur in non-human species.
Furthermore, when the analysis was repeated without using data about the on-going outbreak, an area deemed to be at risk was still within 5 kilometres of the village thought to the origin of the current outbreak.
This ‘at-risk area’ spans 22 countries and is inhabited by 22 million people. It should be stressed that this is not necessarily the size of the population at risk of getting infected with Ebola virus; rather, it represents the population that lives within the area estimated to be suitable for transmission in animals. Once an outbreak has started, transmission from human-to-human could easily spread the virus away from the source.