The dollars still going down..., page 1
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Topic started on 29-5-2003 @ 06:45 AM by Netchicken
Maybe as Dragonrider said, this is a reason behind the middle east war....

HERE

A further rapid decline in the dollar would require concerted action from governments and central banks, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund (news - web sites) (IMF) Horst Koehler said in a newspaper interview.

The dollar has lost around 30 percent of its value against the euro within the past year and Koehler told the business daily Handelsblatt such a development was no surprise given the United States' huge current account deficit.

"On a trade-weighted basis, the depreciation is around 16 percent. That's still within limits and should come as no surprise given the huge current account deficit of the US," Koehler said.
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www.washtimes.com...

Heres another one....

I'm not a government economist, so who am I to give advice to Alan Greenspan and his policy- making buddies on the Federal Open Market Committee.But if I could advise them, I'd encourage them to look down into the trenches and gauge the growing frustration and fear that seems to be permeating growing numbers of Americans. Talk to people who have been out of a job for a year or more, the ones who have slipped off the statistical radar screen into the sea of discouraged workers.Spend some time with senior citizens whose savings are quickly being depleted.Or chat with some former dot-com honcho turned cab driver about his fall from expense account heaven into zero-balance, 401(k) hell.


If one likens this economy to a pyramid, the foundation of which supports the entire structure, then it is time to begin focusing on the material that makes up that foundation.That material is not housing, it is not consumable goods, it is not factory orders, it is not productivity, nor is it any other government concocted statistic that can be easily manipulated by some politically driven bureaucrat.And it certainly is not interest rates.It's jobs — reasonably well paying, secure employment opportunities for the vast majority of Americans who want nothing less than to work toward the American dream.If that comes with a bit of inflation, so be it.If that means a rise in interest rates, so be that too.


[Edited on 29-5-2003 by Netchicken]


reply posted on 30-5-2003 @ 03:33 AM by John bull 1
As soon as the dollar appears to be weakening it is siezed on by currency speculators as a trend.Dollars are sold on the expectation that it will continue to weaken and the Euro continues to strengthen.

I can't understand the theory that the EU are somehow manipulating the Euro/Dollar exchange rate.
First of all the EU is not made up soley of the USA's "Enemies".The financial policies of the Euro-zone are driven by a need to keep a number of diverse sub-economies ticking over.Forming a policy that can work in ,say,Greece and Eire confines the European Central Bank.What I am trying to say is the Euro Bank has a lot less wiggle room than most might imagine.
A year ago the UK sold over half of it's Gold reserves and bought Euros.
The Euro has been finding it's level since it's introduction.It was seriously undervalued at first.

The reason,to my mind,that the Dollar is weakening is because despite a fairly weak European economy the US economy is far weaker.
Some of the reason for this may be the natural economic cycles that all countries experience(Remember the US economy has experienced a number of years of record growth and a downturn was due).The other reasons are the Economic policies of this present Administration which have ignored the growing signs of the downturn.Huge Budget increases are being paid for by borrowing this will lead to interest repayments but the budget increases look set to increase over the years and so more and more will have to be borrowed and as this happens a greater percentage of US income is swallowed by interest repayments.
Trade deficits again decrease the money in the pot.
Tax cuts again decrease the money in the pot.

I am not an economist(Perhaps Cassini who works in the City could comment on what I've written)but I think it is fairly obvious why the Dollar is weakening.

One way to counter this is to create captive markets.Iraq is now a captive market.The investment made by prosecuting the war should,in part,be recouped by American corporations which should filter the money back into the US economy.This is called "Trickle down economics".The danger comes if less money comes back than they thought.

As I said I have no qualifications on this subject and so this is only my opinion.



reply posted on 30-5-2003 @ 05:18 AM by cassini
I think JB said it pretty well but I think of it like this:

America Corp. has once again (second/third year) published poor economic results. Core industries have been under performing and its clear from recent events (Enron etc) that its internal audits do not work, undermining investor confidence. The CEO (G bush) is seen by many as undermining the stability of the corp, as his policies are somewhat bullish, in an unstable market place. A new CEO may go some way to restoring investors confidence in its stock (which is rather quaintly called the dollar). Its current account defecit is so big most people blink and have to check the dictionary to see if the number really exists. This kind of overdraft should be enough to send most companies under but amazingly it keeps getting bigger (back to the CEO on that one I think)

However, america corp has a new market place rival. Euro Inc. Euro Inc is a newly formed company made of up some of the worlds finest blue chip companies (France Germany etc). So whilst the economic data may be no better for Euro Inc, its clear that for investors the more stable bet is the newly formed organisation. A small current accout defecit, stability in the job market and the excitement of sizable competitor able to compete with america corp. Since the dollar has been used as an international standard for so long it has never really had a proper competitor, now it does.

Before there was really no where for the money to go (anyone wanna put money in Yen??????) now there is. Face it guys your company is under performing the CEO sucks and for some reason you owe a BIG fat wedge of money.

This has nothing to do with Cabals or the old European, (although I`m betting some of them are dancing with glee about America at the mo.) you are simply doing a wonderful job of screwing it up yourselves.

Personally I`d be electing a new CEO.....

(probably a democrat, those guys seem better with money than the repubs, may be the repubs keep giving lots of it to their own companies and cronies and the demos really are sweet nice guys and gals, sorry private rant)

I`d think that 9/11 was the last straw, it had the intended effect of destabilising the US economy. What better way for a bunch of terrorists to attack the one world super power and how else could they really expect get a result
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