posted on Aug, 16 2014 @ 08:42 PM
Will the Coaching carousel in Edmonton ever stop spinning round and round?
9 Head Coaches over the last 20 years,this sample size shows us that the average tenure as an Oilers Head Coach is 2.222222
years-months-weeks-days-hours-minutes and seconds.
This is a "long term" challenge which has become something of a stumbeling block for the Organisation.
There is no way continuity of message and intentions can be maintained when the Head Coaches get changed as often as we have seen them switched up in
Scotty Bowman, Barry Smith, Dave Lewis, Mike Babcock..... those are the Head Coaches the Detroit Red Wings have hired in the last 20 years.
Red Wing Head Coaches have a 5 year shelf-life. They have 2.72 times as much tenure behind the bench.If this margin seems to not fit the circumstance
you are feeling the evil pull of statistical thinking tugging at your pant leg like a homeless dog.How can the margin between Coaching tenures be so
small but the sucess levels and numbers be so drasticlly different?
The Red Wings have not missed the Playoffs over the last 20 Years. They are 20 for 20. Exemplery.Right program consistantly actioned.
The Oilers have seen the Playoffs 7 times over the last 20 years. They are 07 for 20. Abysmal.Wrong program consistantly actioned.
The burning question for 2014/15 will be wether or not Dallas Eakins can produce enough winning results to make it through another full year of his
contract, the Oilers have an Owner willing to move contracts when he sees fit,so no one can sit on their laurels in E-Town anymore.
There have been a few stalwart claims the Oilers are investing in Dallas Eakins Youth and energy over the term of his contract to give the roster time
to adjust to continuity of message.
But we must ask ourselves how long the Roster can wait for Dallas to make some winning Head-way,so far things are not looking positive.
Taylor Hall et al...have been in the NHL four 4 years now and are well into evolving their personal legacys.Contracts and their organisational
realitys and implications CHANGE EVERY SEASON,this is a fact of life in Pro Sports.This young core will soon begin to experience growing pains if that
will be difficult to remedy,they are growing up and will soon each see their futures in a more independant manner,the more players they work with and
see moved the more they mature,and this group has seen a LOT of movement during their short careers,movement of teammates AND Coaches,an ABNORMAL
volume of movement.This fact by no means supports a lack of similar movement this coming season and EARLY if things simply do not start off well,this
is pro Sports after all.
The Oilers young players now have established statistical values in the NHL scheme of thinking, they have "market values" now.The Team itself will
soon need to evaluate how they are developing these players in terms of being NHL assets,they will need to begin to better manage these players
individual evolutions,they have not been doing a very good job over the last ten years of maintaining value for their Players.
Winning is the only way to pump up the values of these young assets,STATS need to be INFLATED in some specific cases or tremendous NHL value will
continue to be lost on an ongoing basis as we have been witnessing.
Can Dallas Eakins manage to produce at a minimum "average NHL results"? If he can somehow raise the Bar for his Team and produce "average results"
can he then manage to continue to maintain,grow,and evolve the individual valuations of Oilers Players assets,or will the Nail Yakupov near Fire-sale
scare him enough to force him to re-evaluate this component of his job?
If Dallas can somehow manage to overcome the first two challenges we just discussed ,well then the question is can he keep this ball rolling beyond
the 40 game mark to show he has the ability to generate at the very least forward progress?
Will Ramsay be enough to stabilise the epic imbalance that the Oilers defensive mentality overburden has created,the same disconnect that buried
Dallas and his squad last season,and the same disconnect that buried three Coaches and Rosters before him?
It seems to me that the statistics are all working against Mr.Dallas Eakins and his Squad,this is clear, so yet another core value question might
be,exactly why would Dallas ADD more stats clutter in the form of Tyler Dellows to his structure when that is what has been pulling him down since
last season? Does Dallas think that Dellows imitation of the NewAge Hockey System and its Intuitive Dynamic Management and Analysis will be bought
hook line and sinker by the Oilers faithfull who are already aware of the NHS and its history and timeline?
I believe Dallas will be gone by the seasons half-way point, it is already pre-destined,
Dallas Eakins has portrayed and sold to the Fanbase AND Players Statistical Analysis as being the cure to the Oilers challenges,he has tried to
supress the NHS as much as his predecessors did,and he shall reap his rewards accordingly.
I believe Dallas is Vain and young enough to believe that he will sirvive the Scandal coming when the true history of the NHS is disclosed and the
Fanbase fully understands the implications of the Oilers suppressionist actions actioned via denial .
It is INTUITIVE DYNAMIC ANALYSIS the Oilers and other NHL teams are looking for but it is BS stats analysis being sold to them,sold AS IF IT WERE A
NEW CONCEPT,this is how the stats community is ripping off the NHS in collusion with NHL teams.
There is no Advanced Stats Analysis that is going to help the Oilers as they try to reproduce the NHSs impacts with their second rate stats
assets.All the Oilers will experience this season is a NEW FORM of disconnect,ha ha ha ha,adding Ramsay even though they do not realise it will force
Eakins out by Proxy.Ramsay thinks intuitively and he will NEVER be able to work seamlessly with Eakins,they are like night and day when you get right
down to it,Ramsay is the EXACT input needed but the two men and their messages and delivery styles could not be further apart than they are,it looks
like a recipie for disaster if we see a poor start and the reins are being pulled in different directions.
My prediction is that Dallas Eakins falls to the Moma2 Curse before the 40 game mark and that Ramsay will not be able to stop the train-wreck from
happening.I believe Ference will be challenged in the room and that when things get tight and dicey early Players will bail out of the dynamic rather
than be sacrificed to the Wolves any more than they collectively have been .
Finally I do not beliefe Dallas Eakins ever possesed the acumen to be handeling elite young 1st overall picks like the Oilers have,
Yakupovs,Nuges,Schultzes and Eberles challenges have predominantly been caused by Dallas himself.
The Coach had no offensive flair,he was a defensive man EXACTLY like ALL the supports waiting to help him were, he had no experience dealing with NHL
players who are elite offensive minds nor did his supporting cast already in place before he even walked in the door,NEVER MIND a trio of 1st overall
picks who all must be properly evolved individually,this has been the side-show we all saw coming and it is nowhere near over.
The Oilers will soon be shopping for yet another new NHL Head Coach, there might even be one in the Wings already ready to work with Ramsay,Ramsay is
one half of a legitimate NHL tandem,just not with Eakins on the other side.
Now we will have to wait to see just how influential the Oilers off-season managerial aquisitions will be,surely if the season is spiralling into
oblivion again by the 25-30 game mark some curative actions will have to be actioned,and this means Dallas becomes a Sacrificial lamb.
At this point the Oilers will soon be facing a Fanbase back-lash like never before seen in the NHLHead Coaches leave town under those
There is only one asset that has shown a track record over the last 4 years of bringing teams together into Championship format,and this asset has NO
STATISTICAL INPUTS............. The Oilers need Intuitive Dynamic Analysis...... they need the real deal not the BS they are selling their fanbase and
players,Dellows has nothing new to bring to the table he is an NHS imitator,he is not an innovator.The Oilers are simply embarrasing themselves by
hiring more and more stats inputs as their team sinks further and further into the abyss.
Dallas Eakins will lose his 1st NHL job because he couldnt tell the difference between Advanced Statistical Analysis which is pure unadultered BS and
Intuitive Dynamic Analysis which is the purest form of realtime interactive Pro Sports Analysis ever created.
You lose Eakins,so do your Bosses who refused to accept their Bad-medicine. never look a Gift-Horse in the Mouth,you GOTTA KNOW THAT ONE. The NHS will
not be denied.
The Oilers will soon be coach Shopping again,I wonder who will be available this season?