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"The notion that we are going to build enough hospitals at the pace that we're going, to keep up with the spread, is absolute nonsense," Garrett says...
...Two weeks ago, the military and White House promised to erect a twenty-five-bed hospital in Monrovia, Liberia. It takes fifty to sixty days after funds are released to make [a hospital] operational, so even that very small facility will probably not be up and running until the end of October. The epidemic is currently doubling in size every ten to twenty days. You do the math: we currently have 5,000 recognized cases, and the assumption is what we see and count represents about a third of the reality, so we may have as many as 15,000 cases now, in two weeks that's 30,000. Two weeks after that it's 60,000. By the time the twenty-five-bed hospital is ready, it's 120,000. By the time the other seventeen hospitals are in place, it could be 200,000.
...one fallback plan is the [U.S. Agency for International Development] scheme to distribute 400,000 home-care kits that contain latex gloves, masks, disinfectants, and soap... [Distributing home-care kits] is not going to stop the epidemic, but it's certainly going to lower the rate of spread...
We're not going to stop this unless we fundamentally get infected people away from the uninfected... [French NGO Doctors Without Borders (MSF)] has said, "We don't need a lot of fancy hospitals. What we need is to turn every single stadium and sports arena into a secure location that people cannot escape from, put cots in there, [provide] shade and protection from the rain, bring all the infected people into these spaces, and give them what little care we can."
...Everybody is having a hard time facing up to the fact that something that sounds so morally repugnant is going to have to be the way out of this.
We've wasted a lot of time focusing on the possibility of a technological solution. It would be nice if in a year, two years, three years from now, we have a vaccine and we have some kind of viable, curative medicine. But we don't now, and we're not going to stop this technologically. As Americans, we tend to always want to find a quick fix that's technological, and we have a hard time with answers that involve boots on the ground and harsh public health solutions.
It would be a pretty profound leap in mutation. ...we know the virus has already made more than 300 mutations... However, most of the changes have made no difference... to its transmissibility...
I'm less worried about the virus becoming airborne than I am about it being able to outmaneuver any vaccine we throw at it...
originally posted by: ikonoklast
She's right that this is morally repugnant, to say the least. This is how most sci-fi epidemic movies see things going, and who doesn't root for the hero escaping from the government roundup? Unfortunately she may also be right that it is the only option mentioned so far that could actually work. I'm not saying it's good. I'm just saying they are pretty much out of options other than this now, unless someone recommends the 'nuclear option.' Literally. Sci-Fi epidemic movies seem to often go that way too.
Williams stressed in the town hall meeting that the troops would be at extremely low risk of getting the virus because they would not be providing direct care to Ebola patients. Ebola is transmitted via direct contact, through broken skin or mucous membranes, with the blood, secretions, organs or other bodily fluids of infected people, and with contaminated surfaces and materials, according to the World Health Organization. The reality, Williams said, is that malaria poses a much greater risk for the troops.
originally posted by: MDpvc
For those that haven't heard yet the WHO released new numbers last night ( September 24)
The number of cases has gone up to 6,263 and the deaths are up to 2,917.
West Africa Ebola death toll passes 3,000 -WHO
DAKAR, Sept 26 Fri Sep 26, 2014 3:07pm EDT
The death toll from an outbreak of Ebola in West Africa has risen to at least 3,091 out of 6,574 probable, suspected and confirmed cases, the World Health Organisation said on Friday.
DALLAS, TX -- A Dallas hospital says it is isolating a patient who is showing signs of having the Ebola virus.
Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital Dallas said in a statement Monday night that the patient's symptoms and travel history suggest the patient may have Ebola, the virus that has killed more than 3,000 people across West Africa.