WHO released another Ebola update yesterday
, November 7,
2014. According to WHO, through November 4, 2014 (November 3, 2014 for Guinea), there were:
13,268 reported Ebola cases
4,960 reported Ebola deaths
I have updated the charts with the new data:
The numbers do not include the Congo, as that is allegedly an unrelated outbreak.
Ebola data reported is always subject to change as cases and deaths are reclassified, as data sources change, or as reporting methods change. These
charts rely on the reported numbers, but the charts and projections can only be as accurate as the data they are based on. Please be aware that there
are a number of possible issues with reported data.
1. WHO,the CDC, Doctors Without Borders (MSF), etc. have all stated that actual cases and deaths "vastly" outnumber reported figures. Most believe
there are at least 2 to 5 times as many cases and deaths. This seems fairly likely given the reputation of the organizations or people saying
2. There have recently been a number of sudden large decreases in officially reported cases and deaths. It is unclear if this indicates an
improvement or an inability to keep up. A sudden improvement seems unlikely, but let's hope.
3. Many countries have clamped down on journalists reporting on Ebola. Liberia has put laws or regulations in place to severely restrict
journalists. Sierra Leone just put a journalist in prison who had been reporting on the Ebola epidemic there. In the USA,
The Associated Press and other press outlets have agreed not to report on suspected cases of Ebola in the United States until a positive viral RNA
test is completed.
4. There are many different theories or opinions circulating regarding Ebola that differ from the 'official' reporting of the epidemic. Some believe
that there is no such thing as Ebola. Some that whatever is currently spreading is not Ebola. Some that there is no outbreak of anything at all.
Some that people are purposely being infected with Ebola or something that is being called Ebola. Some that the Ebola epidemic is part of a
depopulation plan. I really do not know whether any of these beliefs have merit or not. There are certainly many strange things that go on in the
world, so who knows?
The same disclaimers and references apply to all of these charts:
Charts and future projections were done by me, not by WHO, except in cases where it is stated that a chart includes WHO projections. I am not an
Ebola expert, epidemiologist, virologist, or MD, but I manually compiled the data used to create these graphs from news updates on the following
SOURCE: WHO website 1
SOURCE: WHO website 2
SOURCE: WHO website 3
SOURCE: WHO website 4
SOURCE: CDC website 1
SOURCE: The New England Journal of Medicine
SOURCE: Guinea Situation Reports (posted on
[NOTE: Situation Reports from Guinea are in French.]
SOURCE: Liberia Situation Reports
SOURCE: Sierra Leone Situation Reports
Please do not do anything you might regret based on charts or projections. Hopefully efforts to contain, quarantine, treat, prevent, or cure Ebola
will eventually be successful, and hopefully sooner rather than later.
edit on 8-11-2014 by ikonoklast because: Corrected a typo, merged 2 paragraphs.