posted on Jul, 30 2014 @ 02:20 PM
a reply to: miles1993
The cloud tops were reported to be as high as 50,000 feet, and apparently the crew first re-routed, and by some reports, asked to turn back, before
resuming their original course, which apparently took them into the eye of the storm.
Commercial a/c will generally fly around large thunderstorms - you can safely fly over a hurricane if you avoid the most turbulent parts.
I'm going to guess "icing" was the cause, here, perhaps on the flight surfaces, causing a high-speed stall, or a sudden up- or down-draft, which
caused the pilots to react incorrectly, and lose control of the plane (the AF 447 was kind of a combination of the two - ice in the pitot tubes and
It's unlikely the plane simply broke up, like the wing fell off or something - but it's possible, if they encountered, say, some major updraft
followed by a sudden downdraft - at-speed, that could possibly overstress something, and cause a structural failure - I don't want to say "I doubt
that" - it can happen, but it's extremely rare. If structural failure occurred, I'd guess perhaps an engine mount broke, and the engine tore up
the empennage - depending on the crash scene, might be able to tell if a major component is "missing" like an engine or far away from the impact.
And of course, can't rule out things like bombs on-board - but the events surrounding the flight are more suggestive of icing and/or pilot error more
than anything else.
Whatever the cause, I'm fairly confident there'll be no PTB conspiracy ...