originally posted by: bottleslingguy
a reply to: Box of Rain
I don't believe in alien visitation because of him. I believed in it before I even knew he existed. For me it ties up all the loose ends surrounding
all these mysterious and anomalous things all around the world. And it does it simply. I don't get too hung up on specifics but as far as the general
theme, yes absolutely more than likely it is true. Again my point has been that you can make fun of whoever or whatever you want, that doesn't mean
the subject is false.
I didn't say you "believed in aliens" because of him.
I said you may be more apt to believe anything else specific Tsoukalos says because you feel his general notions agree with your general notions about
alien visitation. (actually , I said "some people", not "you", but perhaps you may fall into that category).
That is what confirmation bias is. If you feel Tsoukoulas' and you share similar feelings about alien visitation (i.e., he and you are "kindred
spirits" when it comes to aliens), then you would be more likely to believe anything else he says.
Instead of objectively looking at what Tsoukalos says about (say, for example) that the ancient Greeks learned about mathematics from aliens, someone
with confirmation bias would take the fact that he is a kindred spirit as additional evidence for aliens teaching Greeks math. It's as if they
"Well, Tsoukalos and I think alike; therfore, if Tsoukolas believes the ancient Greeks learned what they knew about math from aliens, then I
should also believe that the ancient Greeks learned math from aliens
...and THAT is confirmation bias. Because, in reality, just because you and Tsoukalos share common ideas, that does not make the idea that ancient
aliens take Greeks about mathematics any more valid.
To keep away from the fallacy of confirmation bias, you would investigate Tsoukalos' specific claims only on the merit of the specific claim
, and not be biased by the fact that you may share some other
common ideas with Tsoukalos.
As an aside (although it really isn't that pertinent to this conversation), I sometimes think that Tsoukalos doesn't really believe half the stuff he
says, and just says those things because it makes for good TV -- and more importantly gets him back on TV over and over again.
But that's just my opinion, and my opinion is irrelevant because it doesn't really matter if Tsoukalos himself believes in the stuff he says. The
evidence is the evidence, and it speaks for itself, whether Tsoukalos believes what he says or if he doesn't believe it.
edit on 7/12/2014 by Box of Rain because: (no reason given)