a reply to: SRS82
well, Yes it seems I omitted some countries from my very initial forecast in the last post.
I gave eight different possibilities for the teams that are going to arrive to the best four of this world cup,
in m previous post I was just mentioning 5, but if you read my opening post in this thread I was giving a
list of 8 for the possible candidates to arrive to semifinal.
Netherlands, Costa Rica, Colombia, Chile, France, Argentina, America and Brazil.
Obviously since my list is of more than 4 it has in account the fact that Netherlands and Costa Rica can't
arrive both, as well as Chile, Brazil and Columbia cant arrive both neither, and also it is impossible that USA
and Argentina both go through.
If you also check that Original post, I was sure Neither Argentina nor USA will arrive to the final, so my
candidates for a possible final are:
Columbia or Chile or Brazil or France vs Netherlands or Costa Rica
My original initial post in the thread also pointed that I felt only Columbia was going to be able to Stop
Brazil and that only Costa Rica could stop Netherlands, but I still had the impression that Netherlands was the
one with more likelihood in between even all the teams to arrive to the final.
With the so ample result in favor of Columbia today and the so tied of Brazil my forecast seems to be
accurate, and well Chile is definite out by now of any possibility.
In my original prediction countries that are technically still with chances right now like Algeria, Germany
, Belgium , Mexico, Switzerland and Greece were completely discharged of any option to progress toward semifinal or final. Uruguay never appeared in
my forecast at all.
Also I forecasted that Equator was going to offer hugh resistance to France, and Italy was in a so serious risk to be defeated by Uruguay, and indeed
that was the way it happened .
So this was indeed a serious prediction, since it was not gambling with all the possibilities,
but clearly mentioning which ones had the higher probability of success.
Apart of my Psychic abilities I am also in my professional life Statistician so I am familiar to deal with probabilities or
The Angel of Lightness
edit on 6/28/2014 by The angel of light because: (no reason given)