posted on Jun, 9 2014 @ 09:45 AM
My assessment, as a foreigner in Edinburgh, is that this issue is still fluid, nothing is certain.
The Yes campaign had momentum until perhaps 4 or 5 weeks before, there was a pause. The former UK PM Brown still has respect here amongst working
classes on the center left, he is still a man to be reckoned with (in Scotland anyway). That plus the elections to the EU Parliament have blunted
activity somewhat, the media in Scotland is still very UK & Londres centric & much prominence was given to UKIP & Farage than any other politician. In
fact there was a demonstration of many hundreds in Glasgow outside BBC Scotland HQ last week about MSM bias against the Yes campaign, although it was
not reported widely (how apt).
I have followed this issue closely. I still think it will come down to the working class, central Scotland electorate, how that will swing. There is a
sectarian divide in these communities, between catholic and protestant. To be blunt, many catholics want Yes and many Orangemen want No. But speaking
to colleagues and friends, many are putting away their instinctive sectarian rivalries and looking for something else ... and the Yes campaign
Some joke that if England progresses in the soccer world cup that Scotland's independence is guaranteed, such trivia things sometimes grate with the
Scots that you wouldn't think possible, they can be a nasty, petty & small minded nation at times. Some Yes people claim "you are a traitor to
Scotland if you vote No !". For that is how many see the referendum, they see no benefits by remaining in UK. Some in the No campaign are as mad,
predicting armageddon if the Yes campaign is successful, with neverending stories of doom and disaster if Scotland votes Yes. PM Cameron wins votes
for the Yes campaign merely by landing his airplane in Scotland, he is a walking talking vote loser for Better Together, as are the UK cabinet
In fact, when you consider the No campaign, there's so few of any substance who aren't tainted by the last UK Labor government or the current UK
coalition. All many see is Darling & Brown, the two men most responsible for the financial catastrophe. Or Danny Alexander, the treasurer minister, an
ineffectual man of the peculiar sort, you would "not have him to tea" as a friend has said !
For those 15 hours on referendum day, only the people of Scotland will have their say, for the first time in over 300 years they will be able to vote
as fully sovereign electors, only their vote will count. That itself is a remarkable tribute to the UK and the ease at which the four constituent
nations of UK are with each other, that such an important issue is peacefully decided.
It's a historic vote and one the Scots don't squander or live to regret. I doubt this choice will come again in many generations, they need to get
My prediction ?
The polls say one thing but my gut feels another, I think the outcome might be truly earth shattering for UK, EU & OTAN/NATO !!!