Do you have excel?
I seem to be unable to find the graph to which you are linking to, could you please link directly to where I could find it.
Just more people reporting it because of more people online and better infrastructure and tech to monitor them
Nothing is out of the orderly or changed only our communicative abilities and tech
So deviation from the entire period of historic data shows little deviation, but recently (60's) quake activity has increased over the average living person's life.
Standard deviation is a standard formula but the trendline is a linear regression (also standard).
Not sure exactly how excel calculates standard deviation, it would be great if they included an excel sheet of the actual data to manually code the standard deviation.
reply to post by Conspiracyskeptic
Ice caps are melting fast! Trillions upon trillions of tonnes of weight is shifting. The plates are bound to move. You will see earthquakes more frequent and bigger. You will also see vulcanoes going off, climate change with more superweather.. Etc etc
This has no basis in science, think about it. We have only heard about much melting of ice in the Arctic, and what is Arctic ice on top of? Water. There has been some melting on Greenland but not enough to affect tectonic plates, and there has been little melting in the Antarctic where the largest ice cap in the world is.
The have been many more large earthquakes over the past decade or so starting with the Indonesian one in 2004, but the are not due to melting ice.
Does the rise in earthquakes have anything to do with the rise in other phenomenon like the rise in fireballs, sinkholes, strange trumpet noises..........
The North Pole is significantly warmer than the South Pole because it lies at sea level in the middle of the Arctic Ocean (albeit mostly frozen), where as the South Pole is significantly elevated on the frozen continent of Antarctic.
reply to post by FriedBabelBroccoli
No professors (sciences/engineering) at my Uni will accept regressions or stand devs from excel, they may have fixed things but we all use Apache anyways.
Of course not. "Show your work."
originally posted by: PlanetXisHERE
a reply to: Rezlooper
Interesting. Sure methane levels may be rising, but I can't see any possible connection between rising methane and many of the new and/or increasing events.
How could rising methane levels possibly effect the tectonic plates and cause them to be more active? Some melting ice in Siberia? In order to effect the tectonic plates we would have to see a significant amount of water released - enough to cause a several foot change in ocean levels, and while the oceans may have risen a few inches a few feet obviously hasn't happened.
Plus melting ice is gradual. There is more evidence that the tectonic plates are affected by sudden openings of coronal holes on the sun. See this thread: www.abovetopsecret.com...
Meteors will burn up in the atmosphere with or without methane, the chemical combustion may be slightly different with increased levels of methane, but not noticeable to the human eye, but either way they will be seen, so no, we are getting more meteors and not just seeing the same amount meteors become more visible due to increasing methane, there are more fireballs.
Sinkholes (non-karst underlain type) are increasing in areas with rift-faults - this is the obvious conclusion though no one is talking about it, to think this has anything to do with methane is ridiculous.
Strange noises heard around the world, again the obvious answer is increasing tectonic activity, though again no one in the MSM or government is talking about it, nothing to do with methane.
I think you need to spend your time on another theory, methane levels may be rising, that may be dangerous locally and globally, but it certainly doesn't explain many of the once rare phenomenon that are occurring with increasing frequency.
Going back to 1990 there were NO years where we had 4000+ quakes in the States...until 2009, when we had 4264. I thought about posting this last year, but since the new 'top' in 2009 wasn't THAT much higher than the previous one, I decided to wait for better confirmation, so as not to be alarmist. I was still hoping I was wrong at that point. This year we are rapidly closing in on 8000 quakes, though I doubt we will get there before Jan 1. That is truly a frightening spike. I predicted it, I was expecting an increase, but...wow, not like that. It's unquestionably time to be alarmed now.
Basically, I proposed a simple concept: that a gram of water in a dam's reservoir weighs the same as a gram of water off the coast of Japan (or California, or Indonesia, whatever), and if weight in a dam's reservoir can cause earthquakes (and clearly they can and sometimes do), then introducing extra mass to new areas globally would increase seismic instability globally.
Where is all the extra mass coming from? Well, most of it, obviously, from melted ice, quadrillions of tons. The entire planet looks different from orbit now compared to what it once looked like. Now, I'm not saying some extra water mass can make a completely geologically inactive area do anything. But a LOT of volcanoes and tectonics just need a little extra pressure to blow. Also, most of the ice is melting away from thick continental plates and is ending up in the oceans, where the plates are much thinner and therefore more sensitive.
The oceans are the planet's reservoir. The vast amounts of ice that are melting off the land are filling up that reservoir. Essentially, MISA Theory is very similar to the concept behind Reservoir-Induced Seismicity, but on a global scale and with three differences: 1) nobody did a geological survey of the reservoir area to make sure that the added mass wouldn't cause problems, as is always done with dams; 2) the plates under the oceans are far more fragile than those beneath any land-based reservoir; and 3) this reservoir cannot be drained to relieve pressure.
Here's a factoid: each square mile of water that is one meter deep weighs 5,709,917,475 pounds. Not quite 6 billion pounds. Now you're thinking, well, we don't have one meter of sea level rise yet. That's true. But realize, sea level rise is not the same from area to area. Some areas have higher amounts than the average, some lower. It's possible that we're creeping up on that amount in some areas already. In any case, the process is ongoing, the mass flowing in continuously, month after month, year after year.
Think about your average volcano sticking out of the ocean. It may have 100 square miles (10x10 miles) where added mass could have some effect. So if the sea level around that volcano is increased by one meter then the amount of newly-introduced weight affecting that volcano is 570 billion pounds. If it was 99% of the way to blowing its top already then that might just be plenty to push it over the edge. The same is true of faults, except their area is often much larger.
These were predictions Jonny made in 2010. What's increased since? Earthquakes, volcanoes, sinkholes, landslides, land cracks, loud booms and sky noise.
We're transitioning to a new system, so this webpage is being phased out and is no longer maintained as of 11/27/12. To generate statistics for past earthquakes, please use the
Starting in January 2009, the USGS National Earthquake Information Center no longer locates earthquakes smaller than magnitude 4.5 outside the United States, unless we receive specific information that the earthquake was felt or caused damage.