The end of the age of oil? I think not!, page 2


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reply posted on 28-11-2004 @ 01:49 AM by Torus
Originally posted by jgbjgb
And then there is fuel from low grade coal,

For interest sake check this out:

www.sasol.com...

"We operate the world's only coal-based synthetic fuels manufacturing facility at Secunda in South Africa, which uses unique Sasol Fisher-Tropsch technology to manufacture synthesis gas from low-grade coal. This is converted into a large range of petrochemicals"

I do not think we will have a fuel problem in my lifetime - just hope the ones with the nukes does not destroy "our" planet too soon


Coal is all fine and good, for ripping the surface crust off of the planet, destroying countless eco-systems, being a very dirty energy source, and costing WAY more than oil, gas, and coalbed methan extraction processes. Its cheaper to steam-inject heavy oil and super heat oil and gas to separate water from the mix, than it is to strip mine or even dig old-fashioned death trap cavern mines of old. mSure, we have tonnes of coal, but, why finish off the planet and run a loss economically for not only the producers, but the consumers in the long run?

Coal is NOT a viable alternative to the complete loss of extracted oil and gas. There has to be alternatives. Have you ever seen a strip mine operation? Just take a trip to Fort McMurray, Alberta, Canada, to see what it entails. Enjoy, and check your constitution at the door. You have NO idea what mining on this level encurs. NONE. And I don't give a damn what pappy said. Work it to see it, and seeing is believing.


reply posted on 28-11-2004 @ 10:31 AM by Off_The_Street
Mr. jgbjgb, I think you miss Mr. Torus' points.

Whether you can get coal out of the ground is not a question; you can.

Whether you can refine coal, tar sands, etc. into oil or even gas, is not a question; you can.

Whether you can build plants or retrofit existing ones to burn that oil or gas cleanly while still producing power is not a question; you can.

The question is whether you can do it cost-effectively.

You can't.

Now I personally disagree with the belief that fusion power is going to be a significant player in either my or my kid's lifetime. Fusion has been promising for decades and so far we don't even have a demonstration power plant.

If we can get it out of the lab and into a location where it actually produces power, I may change my opinion; but even so, you will see the same people who believe nuclear fission is wrong because it will Turn Into A Gigantic Bomb And Blow Us All Up, will demonstrate against a fusion plant (probably enlisting the aid of the Hollywood experts to show that fusion, too, will Turn Into A Gigantic Bomb And Blow Us All Up.

I have mentioned that I spent two years in the Systems Engineering department of a Photovoltaics house; I could, once again, provide reasons why PV and wind turbines are not cost effective for large-scale power generation (but prefer not to).

There are other technologies that are a lot more promising that controlled fusion, including Stirling-cycle generators running of temperature deltas of the ocean or even harnessing the tides in places like the Bay of Fundy to drive hydroelectric generators. The engineering challenges are daunting; but at least we know we CAN do it.

Nonetheless, none of that stuff is going to happen in the near future; the only way I can see our society being preserved (and I believe Mr. Edsinger will agree with me)is to attempt to educate the people on nuclear fission and start to build the plants.

[edit on 28-11-2004 by Off_The_Street]



reply posted on 28-11-2004 @ 03:07 PM by sardion2000
Well this is some out of the box thinking hear so plz don't flame my ideas and keep an open mind

There are many potential sources of power in the future and there is not going to be one thing that will solve all our needs for at least 50 years at the minimun so I agree with you on that ed. If we want to prolong the enevitable to give us time to innovate the a number of things have to happen.

1: Solar, Wind, Tidal, Geothermal must be exploited as new technology permits. The onlything standing in the way to more reliance on renewables are twofold. First is the effiency and cost per watt is still many times worse then conventional methods. Second is the manufacturing costs must come down and this is happening right now as more plants producing solar panels and wind turbines come on line and add more products into the pipeline which will bring prices down(btw demand from Europe is amazing right now, they are eating up alot of the products wich is one of the reason the price is higher than it should be).

2: Hot Fusion is the most promision and Thermonuclear reactions are pretty well understood, as ed said the only problem is the containment but I believe with new nanotech materials that obstacle can be overcome within 20-30 years.

3: Developing nanotech enabled filters to alleviate emission and maybe even designing a combustion engine based on Nanotech from the bottom up instead of top down. Potentially getting a major effiency boost.

4: All alternatives should be researched and not supressed because if it seems to good to be true then it has to be a hoax. One example is
Aquafuel, which for all intesnts and purposes WORKS. But why hasn't it been the subject of a scientific paper is what gets me.


reply posted on 12-12-2004 @ 08:16 PM by celle3
hmm big problem lets see around 2006 whe will have reatched maximum production - in other words whe will produce more then now , there will be enof oil for evrybody but prices will from then on only go up , in other words evry year it will cost more to fill your tank a lot more , for you in the US compare it to filling up you SUV gas tank whit red wine from france , after a few years let say around 2012.
Country's like china , India and other country's are still building up there economy somme of them almost dubbel there fuel consumtion evry year.
So there is enof oil till maybe 2060 the problem will be the cost of it .
the second problem is to replace it whit somthing else there is still NO!!! REPLACENT at this moment - whe can use solar energy , wind energy , nucleair energy but do you imagine a 40 ton truc on solar or wind energy I can tell you i don't . Wind will be used like in the middel ages to drive wooden chips acros the oceans if whe start building them again befor its to late . The big problem is indeed transport all transport needs fuel , and the only fuel whe can use is oil , Dont dream about Hydrogen or other , the production cost is to high- and most off them need fossiel fuel even in small quanteties to be produced .
After 2060 u will use your legs or those off other animals to transport your selve , i hear sombody say Bike ??? yes maybe for 50 more years then by absence of fast transport for exchange of nowlege and goods your bike will be broken and nobody will be able to repair it , rubber for your weels will be gone .
In modern world all poeple are specialized , we all do a littel part of a big job a guy cuts a tree a other one transports it , a other one cuts planks of it an finaly sombody make furnitur with the planks , you think one of these guy's has any Id how to make the iron tools the use ?
I don't think whe will be extinct but whe will be back living in caves for a few 100 years till whe learn living whit a lot less again .
You whant to survive ?? well if you like to have somme training forget you have a truc and public transports , chut down your electricitie , gas and water - and try to hold out for a week it will give you good hints -
hmm and sorry i forgot 85% off all fertelizer used to grow plants for people or animal consumption is produced from crude oil


reply posted on 19-2-2005 @ 02:11 AM by GradyPhilpott
Find it! Drill it! Pump it! Refine it! Burn it! Convert it! Drink it, if you want to. Of what use is petroleum to anything but humans. The first well ever drilled for the express purpose of pumping oil was drilled in Pennsylvania in 1859 and humanity had been here for, well, pick your theory. When the stuff is all gone the environmentalists will all be happy and dead within a year, because they won't be able to live without what industry provides them.

www.washtimes.com...



Oil is by far the cheapest, most abundant, and cleanest source of energy we have. Nearly every advantage we enjoy today can be traced back to the energy provided by the petroleum industry. Yet the men and women who make our civilization possible are too often treated as pariahs who are damaging the environment. This is a shame. The environmental impacts of petroleum exploration and production are virtually negligible in comparison to the benefits they provide.

We all want to preserve and protect the natural environment, but much of the modern environmental movement is based upon the myth of a primitive harmony with nature that has never existed. Life without oil and technology is a life that is short, dark and impoverished. Let us give thanks that we have been lifted out of darkness and poverty.

www.washtimes.com...



[edit on 05/2/19 by GradyPhilpott]



reply posted on 16-4-2005 @ 05:25 PM by Amur Tiger
The Sandia rapid fire thermo-nuclear explosion and Z-pinch experiments?

I hadn't herd of it before but after reading it I've determined that it's nothing special you see you missed the part where all that energy only took place over a few billionths of a second. Since power is multiplied by the time it's running for I think some calculations are in order. First of all I'm going to assume that this takes place over 5 billionths of a second meaning that assuming that they've already spread their power out over the entire second it's down to 80555555 KW/h the base measurement for your power bill. World production currently is around 15900000000000 KW/h.
www.scaruffi.com...
Now perhaps they were assuming in their comparisons to world figures that they could keep their little gizmo running for a full second or maybe even an hour, but they didn't and they can't. We've been capable for quite some time to make a fusion reaction, the tough part is controlling it for a reasonable amount of time. Right now the international project towards this has achieved the break even point www.iter.org... and are planning on making a bigger and better reactor elsewhere. The reason they can't get energy out is the same reason why Z-pinch isn't that impressive, they can't sustain it for long(though much longer then Z-pinch).

I think you better go back and tell me how they intend to control and harness the energy? remember the fuss over cold fusion a while back?

Further ITER has consistenly put sustainable energy amoung the top goals for their project, meaning that it will have to be contained and continue producing power for long periods of time. Z-pinch avoided this and made something interesting but essentially useless beyond proof of theory and scientific benefits.
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