Exit polls were already manufactured to give Bush an extra 5%+. Even using those manufactured polls, the odds of having the announced results were
ONE OUT OF 4.5 BILLION
DU(democraticunderground.com) is THE message board for the Democratic Party supporters and staff.
In face of these calculations, their feedback is a good example of what happens to people once there's absolutely no escape from having to face
the fact that they accepted to carry the mark of the beast
How Michael Moore is used to cover-up the electronic vote fraud
For the input data (exit polls, election results) and intermediate results (Diff. between exit polls and election results, StDev, MoE, Prob) :
The simple statistical calculations, explained by TruthIsAll
Those are the odds that Kerry's EXIT poll percentage would
EXCEED his ACTUAL reported vote percentage by MORE THAN THE
MARGIN OF ERROR in 16 out of 51 States by chance alone. That
is exactly what occurred on Nov. 2.
I know that is hard to fathom. But here is the data. And here
is the calculation, based on the number of individuals polled
in each state and the corresponding Margin of Error (MOE).
The chances of a given state falling outside the MOE = 1/20 =
.05. The calculation for the probability that 16 out of 51
states would fall outside the MOE is a simple one which uses
the BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION:
The Probability (P) that at least 16 out of 51 states would
deviate beyond the exit poll MOE is:
P = 1-BINOMDIST(16,51,0.05,TRUE)
This returns P= 0.0000000218559% or 1 out of 4,575,415,347!
[edit on 27-11-2004 by MattMarriott]