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Actually in the past few months I have not had my head buried in as much data as normal because my stress calculator got broken and I have not had time to fix it. I do look at global data but have not been monitoring specific areas for a while. In addition I have had my head in other interests, mainly the Mayo Male Voice Choir of which I am a member and we have a concert coming up in two weeks time, and I have to write an estimating program for someone so I have been a little bit busier than usual. You could say about three points past frenetic which is the normal pace.
Never the less my 'guess' is Chile high 7, lo 8 in April and either preceded or followed quickly by low to mid 7 in Santa Cruz/Vanuatu - looking at around April 21 just because there is more often one around that date than not. Since I am never normally right those areas should be pretty safe around then
Remember also that IEVPC are saying Philippines during 2014, but I have not investigated their reasoning.
edit on 30/3/2014 by PuterMan because: (no reason given)
USGS Map Link
With a third quake of 6.7 M striking on the subduction zone in just a few days, the magnitudes have been increasing steadily: 6.1, 6.3, and 6.7. At this point I have to put out a warning to the people of Peru, Chile and Ecuador- cause no official agency will do it. And let's hope I'm wrong.
But with these high magnitudes, the possibility of them being foreshocks cannot be overlooked. Where might this quake strike? Anywhere in that general area where the stress reloading from these already big quakes triggers a locked point, and pushes it over the edge.
At this point considering that Chile already has had a big quake in the last few years, I tend to think the next one will probably be farther north- either near Peru or Ecuador, perhaps northern Chile. Again, I hope I am wrong.
ETA: With the spread of those big quakes all along that part of the zone, it could be signaling its intention and defining the approximate area of rupture to come. Anything over 8 has the possibility of creating a tsunami, and anything over 8.5 out at sea most certainly will- because it always has in the past.
ETA2: And needless to say, my rig is locked, loaded, directed, finely tuned in, and spewing forth data. So I will keep yas updated.edit on Sun Mar 16th 2014 by TrueAmerican because: (no reason given)
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