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originally posted by: clenz
originally posted by: soficrow
a reply to: clenz
Yes, joho99 is right - it's a worst case scenario and argument FOR additional support. You're right too - the 500,000 to 1.4 million end-January projection assumes no additional support, and also, recalculates under/missing case counts.
Any which way, it pretty much sucks.
Agreed, it sucks. Hopefully though we can do something to fix those numbers.
West Africa Ebola death toll passes 3,000 -WHO
DAKAR, Sept 26 Fri Sep 26, 2014 3:07pm EDT
The death toll from an outbreak of Ebola in West Africa has risen to at least 3,091 out of 6,574 probable, suspected and confirmed cases, the World Health Organisation said on Friday.
Here in Liberia, everyone is excited about the millions of US dollars being poured in to “fight Ebola,” and everyone wants a piece of the pie. A certain NGO out in rural Liberia quarantined a village, claiming they’d tested and found three cases. They applied for and received US$ 250,000 to fight Ebola in this village. They brought in a few sacks of rice and some chlorine. The villagers mobbed the trucks and carried off the plunder.
NGO’s spending hundreds of thousands of dollars to level earth with heavy equipment over a month in order to build tent cities capable of isolating and treating Ebola, but then not even giving them IV fluids or food, so that the Ebola patients sneak out of the tents and cross the street looking for food.
Dozens if not hundreds of US$70,000 Land Cruisers are taking foreigners around town to hotels, bars, clubs, and fancy guest houses so they can feel comfortable while they fight Ebola, and yet they can’t even collect the dead bodies that could expose so many more!
ABIDJAN – The United States Embassy today announced that two health experts from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), based in the United States, arrived in Côte d’Ivoire this week to assist the government with efforts to prevent the spread of Ebola into the country.
The U.S. currently has approximately 100 specialists throughout the affected countries working on activities such as the distribution of health equipment and emergency supplies, support for public health messaging, and technical expertise to assist with issues such as airport screening and contact tracing.
In addition, the CDC now has more than 70 staff deployed in Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone assisting with various response efforts, including assistance with Ebola incident control and management, laboratory testing, surveillance, contact tracing, database management, and health education. All these efforts are expected to help prevent, detect, and stop the spread of Ebola in affected countries.
These are the latest Ebola outbreak charts updated with the newest data from WHO that covered through September 21, 2014. I'm splitting the charts over four posts since there are a lot of different charts now. This is post 1 of 4.
According to WHO (counting confirmed, probable, and suspected Ebola cases and deaths), as of the end of 21 September 2014 there are:
6263 reported cases
2917 reported deaths
Ebola Help for Sierra Leone Is Nearby, but Delayed on the Docks
FREETOWN, Sierra Leone — It has been sitting idly on the docks for nearly two months: a shipping container packed with protective gowns, gloves, stretchers, mattresses and other medical supplies needed to help fight Sierra Leone’s exploding Ebola epidemic.
There are 100 bags and boxes of hospital linens, 100 cases of protective suits, 80 cases of face masks and other items — in all, more than $140,000 worth of medical equipment locked inside a dented container at the port since Aug. 9.
Hundreds of people have died of Ebola in Sierra Leone since then, and health workers have endured grave shortages of lifesaving supplies, putting them at even greater risk in a country reeling from the virus.
……Mr. Bah said he thought the equipment would be welcomed by the struggling authorities, and he said he expected the shipping fee of $6,500 would be a small detail for Sierra Leone. According to the official, the government has already received well over $40 million in cash from international donors to fight Ebola.
The shipping company, as a good-will gesture in a moment of crisis, had agreed to send the goods without being paid first, Mr. Bah said. But no more. Three other containers of similar value await shipment from the United States, he said, halted by the government’s long refusal to pay.
“We will appreciate if the payment is made quickly so that the medical supplies will be sent directly to the affected or targeted areas,” Mr. Bah wrote to the government on Aug. 16.
Instead, top government officials argued over the fee, said that the proper procedures had not been followed, and finally brushed aside the official urging that the supplies be let in, saying they wanted to hear nothing more about it.
“They are blaming us for shipping in without authorization,” Mr. Bah said. “It appears all they are interested in is cash donations. And all we have are supplies.”
Grave diggers, who cover the capital Freetown, have been burying between 17 and 35 bodies each day.
What’s the Relative Impact Compared to Other Diseases? The available numbers also indicate that Ebola had, as of mid-September, already become the leading cause of death in Liberia. The WHO has estimated a case fatality rate of 70% for the West Africa Ebola outbreak; applying this rate to the officially reported cases from Liberia for the last 7 weeks, we find Ebola caused, on average, 263 deaths per week in the country. By comparison, the top three leading causes of deaths in the country – malaria, lower respiratory infections, and diarrheal diseases (using data from the global burden of disease study for 2010) – caused an estimated 140, 89, and 88 deaths per week, respectively. This means at its current rate, Ebola is killing people in Liberia at approximately twice the rate of the country’s previously biggest cause of death and, ominously, this rate is likely to increase for the foreseeable future as the epidemic continues to expand.