Los Angeles has a large Persian population, probably the largest outside Iran. If Iran wanted to hide an intelligence operative with nefarious nuclear
intent, L.A. would be the obvious choice. There is also a high-volume shipping port.
This tech probably wouldn't prevent LA's nuking, but it would ensure Iran's afterward if they were to blame.
It is scientifically correct that information about radioisotopes can give information about the design and likely manufacturing process & with other
intelligence, the likely location and owner of the manufacturing plant.
The first obvious cut is that thermonuclear weapons with a secondary can be distinguished from 1 stage fission primary weapons, and additionally
fairly advanced and efficient weapon designs distinguished from a less advanced fission device. Both of these are consistent with a mature nuclear
weapons state with a significant nuclear test history.
Something that is not informed in the video: the announcer hypothesizes about a small nuclear weapon which takes out a 'block' or '6 buildings'. In
practice, those very small nuclear weapons require more advanced technology than the earliest 'standard' nuclear weapons.
As it turns out the 'natural' size for the easiest nuclear weapon for a first-time nuclear actor is about where Trinity & Hiroshima were: 10-15 kt.
Consequences:
That is much larger than the size hypothesized, which was more like 0.1 kt. L.A. has a lower population density and better construction than
Hiroshima/Nagasaki in 1945, but casualties would still be very high with 10-15kt: 10,000 dead immediately, 5000 more after 2 weeks, and very large
property damage.
Depending on winds the economic damage from long-term evacuation due to fallout would be tremendous---if a quarter of L.A. were condemned for 10 years
for cleanup. Acts of war are excluded from all homeowner insurance policies, so you'd have many rings of newly created slums where houses were
structurally smashed or burnt (even if many residents were able to survive the initial attack) and owners unable to afford reconstruction. Remember,
even if your house is destroyed you still owe the mortgage. And once irradiated, the formerly high property values are nuked. There would be
tremendous economic dislocation, much more than 9/11 where property damage was concentrated in a few owners who could be reimbursed quickly. There
would be some reconstruction fund, but you'd have some politicial parties not willing to pay money to clean up L.A., and there would be lots of fraud
& graft in reconstruction.
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