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I believe that leaders of organized crime would end up being warlords. From personal experience, I have discovered that ( at least in Grand Rapids, MI) there is always a leader(General) of a "district". A "District usually includes 3-9 blocks, and anywhere from 10-100 lower level people. In most "districts" they follow the 5 with 5 rule, which is, 5 people with 5 guns in every house owned by the generals. with about 2 or 3 house owned per block, that's a lot of firepower. Now thats just the Black gangs. I'm not sure how the Mexican Mafia works, Or the Dutch Mafia. The Dutch Mafia, I do know, has Vasts amounts of money, G.W Bush had lunch with the Vanandles.(co-owner of Amway).
SO, to sum-up my response. Warlords will be between the 1% and gangsters.edit on 22-3-2014 by Frexmil2 because: Horrible Grammer
When SHTF who would be potential warlords and how do you avoid them?
People who already have followers.
Those would be the large ones.
Others would break down with a similar Leader follower dynamic, chances are if they are leaders now, they will remain so after in some way.
People want someone to tell them what to do for the most part, and are capable of things far outside the "norm" to fit in and survive.