posted on Mar, 13 2014 @ 04:29 PM
Here's my take on it. Kerry already knows what Russia will do (until Monday, which leaves time for the referendum on Sunday to legitimize Russia's
claim to Crimea), and it will back down enough from annexing it but will leave Crimea in the Russian orbit nonetheless. Even if it remains part of
Ukraine, which it likely will, Russia will be running and protecting it. The new Ukrainian government wanted to close the Russian base, eject the
Crimean government and put in its own lackeys (to replace Russia's lackeys) - but those things will not happen and everyone in power knows it. So why
is Kerry sword waving, drawing a Kennedyish line-in-the-Crimea?
Because Kerry wants to be the Democratic Party nominee in 2016 if Hillary doesn't run. She may not run, there is lots of time between now and then.
Kerry is building up the power points, the tough guy points. If he's the nominee he's not going to get caught by the boaters again, he's going to be
there with an invisible uniform on, tallying his counting-coups and showing those off to America. If Hillary doesn't run, Joe Biden is going to try
for it, and even though both will be in their 70s, Kerry is planning on looking stronger than Biden, stronger than Jeb, or any of the rest. He's in
the catbird seat, and Putin knows exactly what he's doing and will play along a little with it. Kerry already made that "accidential" deal with the
Russians to solve Syria. He's going to go along with the deal on this one too. Kerry '016 is what much of this is about right now, and Obama, who has
likely promised Hillary full-backing, probably isn't sure she is running or will continue to run (at her age one minor physical slip-up could derail
her chances, and the same for Kerry but he's in very good shape for his age) and is allowing Kerry to build his points up. That's my analysis of the
situation, and I personally have no worries at all about Crimea going south, or things going "wrong" there. The posturing is in public, not in
private, where things get worked out over a few drinks and handshakes.
edit on 13-3-2014 by Aleister because: (no reason given)